According to United Nations Population Division, the age distribution of the Commonwealth of Australia is: 21% less than 15 years of age, 67% between 15 and 65 years of age, and 12% over 65. A random sample of 210 Canberra residents revealed 40 under 15, 145 between 15 and 65, and 25 over 65. Are the ages of Canberra residents unusual in any way?

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Multiple Choice

According to United Nations Population Division, the age distribution of the Commonwealth of Australia is: 21% less than 15 years of age, 67% between 15 and 65 years of age, and 12% over 65. A random sample of 210 Canberra residents revealed 40 under 15, 145 between 15 and 65, and 25 over 65. Are the ages of Canberra residents unusual in any way?

Explanation:
Testing whether the observed age distribution in Canberra fits a specified distribution across several categories is a classic case for a chi-square goodness-of-fit test. You use this when you have counts in several categories and a hypothesized proportion for each category, and you want to know if the observed counts deviate from those expectations. Compute the expected counts from the given proportions and the sample size: under 15 should be 0.21 × 210 = 44.1, ages 15–65 should be 0.67 × 210 = 140.7, and over 65 should be 0.12 × 210 = 25.2. The observed counts are 40, 145, and 25 respectively. Calculate the chi-square statistic by summing (O − E)² / E for each category: for under 15, (40 − 44.1)² / 44.1 ≈ 0.38; for 15–65, (145 − 140.7)² / 140.7 ≈ 0.13; for over 65, (25 − 25.2)² / 25.2 ≈ 0.0016. The total is about 0.51. With three categories, the degrees of freedom are 3 − 1 = 2. A chi-square value of 0.51 with 2 degrees of freedom corresponds to a p-value around 0.8, which is far above standard significance levels like 0.05. Therefore, there’s no evidence that Canberra’s ages deviate from the specified distribution; the observed counts are consistent with the expected distribution. This test is the right choice because it directly compares observed counts in each category to what would be expected under a specified distribution. Other options don’t fit: a 1-proportion z-test looks at a single category proportion, ANOVA compares means of continuous outcomes across groups, and the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test is used for comparing continuous distributions rather than counts in discrete categories.

Testing whether the observed age distribution in Canberra fits a specified distribution across several categories is a classic case for a chi-square goodness-of-fit test. You use this when you have counts in several categories and a hypothesized proportion for each category, and you want to know if the observed counts deviate from those expectations.

Compute the expected counts from the given proportions and the sample size: under 15 should be 0.21 × 210 = 44.1, ages 15–65 should be 0.67 × 210 = 140.7, and over 65 should be 0.12 × 210 = 25.2. The observed counts are 40, 145, and 25 respectively.

Calculate the chi-square statistic by summing (O − E)² / E for each category: for under 15, (40 − 44.1)² / 44.1 ≈ 0.38; for 15–65, (145 − 140.7)² / 140.7 ≈ 0.13; for over 65, (25 − 25.2)² / 25.2 ≈ 0.0016. The total is about 0.51. With three categories, the degrees of freedom are 3 − 1 = 2. A chi-square value of 0.51 with 2 degrees of freedom corresponds to a p-value around 0.8, which is far above standard significance levels like 0.05. Therefore, there’s no evidence that Canberra’s ages deviate from the specified distribution; the observed counts are consistent with the expected distribution.

This test is the right choice because it directly compares observed counts in each category to what would be expected under a specified distribution. Other options don’t fit: a 1-proportion z-test looks at a single category proportion, ANOVA compares means of continuous outcomes across groups, and the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test is used for comparing continuous distributions rather than counts in discrete categories.

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